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- Conflict of Interest
- In relation to this article, we declare that there is no conflict of interest.
- Publication history
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Received August 8, 2025
Revised October 21, 2025
Accepted November 6, 2025
Available online February 25, 2026
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This is an Open-Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync/3.0) which permits
unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Latest issues
Data-Driven Performance Prediction of Lead–Carbon Batteries: Integrating Experimental Validation and Reduced-Order Model- Guided Neural Networks
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11814-025-00603-0
Abstract
Accurate and efficient prediction of battery degradation is essential for optimizing energy storage system design and
control. This study introduces a hybrid modeling framework that combines reduced-order modeling (ROM) insights with
experimentally validated deep neural networks (DNNs) to predict degradation in lead–carbon (PbC) batteries. Using
voltage–capacity profiles from 258 experimental charge/discharge cycles, we extract four physically meaningful input
features—cycle number, capacity, charge voltage, and discharge voltage—to train a ROM-guided DNN surrogate. The
model predicts two key health indicators: capacity retention (CapRet) and end-of-discharge voltage (EoDV). It generalizes
well across five scenario types, including extrapolated conditions up to 700 cycles and varying voltage/capacity
inputs. Predictions remain smooth and physically consistent, with validation yielding R² > 0.99 and low MSE. In terms
of computational performance, the DNN achieves sub-second inference (~ 0.02 s), offering over five orders of magnitude
speedup compared to full COMSOL simulations (~ 25 h), and ~ 1000× faster than ROM (~ 22 s). This enables rapid scenario
testing and real-time diagnostics. The proposed framework provides a scalable and interpretable solution for battery
performance forecasting, well-suited for deployment in digital twins, battery management systems, and advanced energy
storage design workflows.

