ISSN: 0256-1115 (print version) ISSN: 1975-7220 (electronic version)
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English
Conflict of Interest
In relation to this article, we declare that there is no conflict of interest.
Publication history
Received August 8, 2025
Revised October 21, 2025
Accepted November 6, 2025
Available online February 25, 2026
articles This is an Open-Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync/3.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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Data-Driven Performance Prediction of Lead–Carbon Batteries: Integrating Experimental Validation and Reduced-Order Model- Guided Neural Networks

School of Energy and Chemical Engineering, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology (UNIST) 1Carbon Neutrality Demonstration and Research Center, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology (UNIST) 2Graduate School of Carbon Neutrality, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology 3Department of Environment & Energy Engineering, Chonnam National University 4Center for Energy Storage System, Chonnam National University 5Specialized Research Center for Hybrid Power Pack, Chonnam National University
jungho@chonnam.ac.kr, hklim@unist.ac.kr
Korean Journal of Chemical Engineering, February 2026, 43(3), 751-766(16)
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11814-025-00603-0

Abstract

Accurate and efficient prediction of battery degradation is essential for optimizing energy storage system design and

control. This study introduces a hybrid modeling framework that combines reduced-order modeling (ROM) insights with

experimentally validated deep neural networks (DNNs) to predict degradation in lead–carbon (PbC) batteries. Using

voltage–capacity profiles from 258 experimental charge/discharge cycles, we extract four physically meaningful input

features—cycle number, capacity, charge voltage, and discharge voltage—to train a ROM-guided DNN surrogate. The

model predicts two key health indicators: capacity retention (CapRet) and end-of-discharge voltage (EoDV). It generalizes

well across five scenario types, including extrapolated conditions up to 700 cycles and varying voltage/capacity

inputs. Predictions remain smooth and physically consistent, with validation yielding R² > 0.99 and low MSE. In terms

of computational performance, the DNN achieves sub-second inference (~ 0.02 s), offering over five orders of magnitude

speedup compared to full COMSOL simulations (~ 25 h), and ~ 1000× faster than ROM (~ 22 s). This enables rapid scenario

testing and real-time diagnostics. The proposed framework provides a scalable and interpretable solution for battery

performance forecasting, well-suited for deployment in digital twins, battery management systems, and advanced energy

storage design workflows.

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